85%chose the wrong answer
Your guess
Linda, 31, bright, active against discrimination as a student. Which is more likely?
More about it
The Linda problem comes from Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman; in 1983 they published a detailed study of it. Ask instead: "100 people fit the description – how many are bank tellers, how many bank tellers and feminists?" and the share of wrong answers drops from 85 to about 20 per cent.
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